ELECTRICITY TRADING SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK ENDING MONDAY 26/07/2010

Weekly Highlights

  • The implied base load Calendar 2011 prices rallied in all states over the last week. SA had the largest rise adding $0.38 moving from $45.00 to $45.38 followed by VIC which increased by $0.28 moving from $37.89 to $38.17. NSW rose $0.21 moving from $41.29 to $41.50 and QLD moved up $0.03 from $31.74 to $31.77.
  • 35% of the weeks trades were in VIC, 33% in QLD and 32% in NSW.
  • Open interest rose significantly on the week with an overall increase of 1,544 contracts or 3%. Futures increased by 1,936 contracts or 4% and options increased by 608 contracts or 7% on the week.
  • Options highlights this week included:
    • 55% of the weeks options trades were in QLD, 37% in NSW and 8% in VIC.
    • QLD base load Calendar 2012 $39 calls traded 160 MW between $0.55 and $0.60.
    • NSW base load Calendar 2012 $44/$50 call spreads traded 130 MW between $1.80 and $1.85.
    • Implied at-the-money base load 2011 option volatility settled at 13.40% in NSW, 11.84% in VIC, 13.30% in QLD and 7.50% in SA.
    • Implied at-the-money base load 2012 option volatility settled at 13.28% in NSW, 13.71% in VIC, 11.64% in QLD and 7.50% in SA.

Weekly Volume*^

  • Futures contracts traded this week (including Cap Futures) = 1,893
    • Base Futures = 1,564
    • Peak Futures = 27
    • Cap Futures = 302
  • Calendar Options traded this week = 930 (3,720 quarterly equivalent contracts)
  • Quarterly Peak Options traded this week = 0
  • Volume of EFP this week = 0
  • Volume of Block Trades this week = 2,234
  • Total MWh traded this week = 12,285,687
  • Open Interest (including caps and options) as at COB Monday 26/07/2010 = 56,564 contracts (representing 220.7 million MWh and a face value of $8.72 billion approx).

Monthly Volume*^

  • FY 10/11 average daily volume = 1,084
  • FY 09/10 average daily volume = 730
  • FY 08/09 average daily volume = 550
  • FY 07/08 average daily volume = 445
  • FY 06/07 average daily volume = 461
  • Jul 10 volume to date = 19,505 / avg daily volume = 1,084
  • Jun 10 total volume = 23,893 / avg daily volume = 1,138
  • May 10 total volume = 16,628 / avg daily volume = 792
  • Apr 10 total volume = 16,727 / avg daily volume = 880
  • Mar 10 total volume = 16,228 / avg daily volume = 706
  • Feb 10 total volume = 13,025 / avg daily volume = 651
  • Jan 10 total volume = 13,223 / avg daily volume = 661
  • Dec 09 total volume = 10,326 / avg daily volume = 469
  • Nov 09 total volume = 23,199 / avg daily volume = 1,105
  • Oct 09 total volume = 10,916 / avg daily volume = 496
  • Sep 09 total volume = 16,881 / avg daily volume = 767
  • Aug 09 total volume = 12,199 / avg daily volume = 581
  • Jul 09 total volume = 11,533 / avg daily volume = 501
*all contracts are 1 MW calendar quarter equivalent

^volume includes futures trades which result from option exercise, face value of options calculated at strike price.

Subscribe to the Market Wrap by email

Get the Market Wrap delivered to your inbox every Tuesday


Chart Futures, Caps and Options VolumeChart Futures, Caps and Options Volume

Futures and Caps Open Interest - Peak=Futures, Base=Futures+Caps - as at COB Mon 26 Jul 2010

  NSW VIC QLD SA
  Peak Base Peak Base Peak Base Peak Base
Q32010 321 3,691 336 2,563 120 1,669 1 319
Q42010 206 3,388 121 3,436 150 2,143 0 213
Q12011 225 3,439 40 3,814 123 1,897 0 138
Q22011 216 2,652 20 1,425 90 1,238 0 105
Q32011 95 1,845 35 1,230 25 1,260 0 60
Q42011 95 1,950 35 1,240 40 1,137 0 60
Q12012 0 475 21 180 5 365 0 8
Q22012 0 434 20 131 0 376 0 8
Q32012 0 254 20 126 0 365 0 8
Q42012 0 229 20 126 0 365 0 8
Q12013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q22013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q32013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q42013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q12014 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q22014 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 1,158 18,357 668 14,271 553 10,815 1 927

Options Open Interest - Peak=Q1 Options - Base=Calendar Options - as at COB Mon 26 Jul 2010

  NSW VIC QLD SA
  Peak Base Peak Base Peak Base Peak Base
2011 0 875 20 1,993 0 2,906 0 0
2012 0 1,395 0 420 0 2,205 0 0
2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 2,270 20 2,413 0 5,111 0 0