ELECTRICITY TRADING SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK ENDING MONDAY 26/07/2010
Weekly Highlights
- The implied base load Calendar 2011 prices rallied in all states over the last week. SA had the largest rise adding $0.38 moving from $45.00 to $45.38 followed by VIC which increased by $0.28 moving from $37.89 to $38.17. NSW rose $0.21 moving from $41.29 to $41.50 and QLD moved up $0.03 from $31.74 to $31.77.
- 35% of the weeks trades were in VIC, 33% in QLD and 32% in NSW.
- Open interest rose significantly on the week with an overall increase of 1,544 contracts or 3%. Futures increased by 1,936 contracts or 4% and options increased by 608 contracts or 7% on the week.
- Options highlights this week included:
- 55% of the weeks options trades were in QLD, 37% in NSW and 8% in VIC.
- QLD base load Calendar 2012 $39 calls traded 160 MW between $0.55 and $0.60.
- NSW base load Calendar 2012 $44/$50 call spreads traded 130 MW between $1.80 and $1.85.
- Implied at-the-money base load 2011 option volatility settled at 13.40% in NSW, 11.84% in VIC, 13.30% in QLD and 7.50% in SA.
- Implied at-the-money base load 2012 option volatility settled at 13.28% in NSW, 13.71% in VIC, 11.64% in QLD and 7.50% in SA.
Weekly Volume*^
- Futures contracts traded this week (including Cap Futures) = 1,893
- Base Futures = 1,564
- Peak Futures = 27
- Cap Futures = 302
- Calendar Options traded this week = 930 (3,720 quarterly equivalent contracts)
- Quarterly Peak Options traded this week = 0
- Volume of EFP this week = 0
- Volume of Block Trades this week = 2,234
- Total MWh traded this week = 12,285,687
- Open Interest (including caps and options) as at COB Monday 26/07/2010 = 56,564 contracts (representing 220.7 million MWh and a face value of $8.72 billion approx).
Monthly Volume*^
- FY 10/11 average daily volume = 1,084
- FY 09/10 average daily volume = 730
- FY 08/09 average daily volume = 550
- FY 07/08 average daily volume = 445
- FY 06/07 average daily volume = 461
- Jul 10 volume to date = 19,505 / avg daily volume = 1,084
- Jun 10 total volume = 23,893 / avg daily volume = 1,138
- May 10 total volume = 16,628 / avg daily volume = 792
- Apr 10 total volume = 16,727 / avg daily volume = 880
- Mar 10 total volume = 16,228 / avg daily volume = 706
- Feb 10 total volume = 13,025 / avg daily volume = 651
- Jan 10 total volume = 13,223 / avg daily volume = 661
- Dec 09 total volume = 10,326 / avg daily volume = 469
- Nov 09 total volume = 23,199 / avg daily volume = 1,105
- Oct 09 total volume = 10,916 / avg daily volume = 496
- Sep 09 total volume = 16,881 / avg daily volume = 767
- Aug 09 total volume = 12,199 / avg daily volume = 581
- Jul 09 total volume = 11,533 / avg daily volume = 501
^volume includes futures trades which result from option exercise, face value of options calculated at strike price.
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Futures and Caps Open Interest - Peak=Futures, Base=Futures+Caps - as at COB Mon 26 Jul 2010
| NSW | VIC | QLD | SA | |||||
| Peak | Base | Peak | Base | Peak | Base | Peak | Base | |
| Q32010 | 321 | 3,691 | 336 | 2,563 | 120 | 1,669 | 1 | 319 |
| Q42010 | 206 | 3,388 | 121 | 3,436 | 150 | 2,143 | 0 | 213 |
| Q12011 | 225 | 3,439 | 40 | 3,814 | 123 | 1,897 | 0 | 138 |
| Q22011 | 216 | 2,652 | 20 | 1,425 | 90 | 1,238 | 0 | 105 |
| Q32011 | 95 | 1,845 | 35 | 1,230 | 25 | 1,260 | 0 | 60 |
| Q42011 | 95 | 1,950 | 35 | 1,240 | 40 | 1,137 | 0 | 60 |
| Q12012 | 0 | 475 | 21 | 180 | 5 | 365 | 0 | 8 |
| Q22012 | 0 | 434 | 20 | 131 | 0 | 376 | 0 | 8 |
| Q32012 | 0 | 254 | 20 | 126 | 0 | 365 | 0 | 8 |
| Q42012 | 0 | 229 | 20 | 126 | 0 | 365 | 0 | 8 |
| Q12013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Q22013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Q32013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Q42013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Q12014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Q22014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 1,158 | 18,357 | 668 | 14,271 | 553 | 10,815 | 1 | 927 |
Options Open Interest - Peak=Q1 Options - Base=Calendar Options - as at COB Mon 26 Jul 2010
| NSW | VIC | QLD | SA | |||||
| Peak | Base | Peak | Base | Peak | Base | Peak | Base | |
| 2011 | 0 | 875 | 20 | 1,993 | 0 | 2,906 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | 0 | 1,395 | 0 | 420 | 0 | 2,205 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 0 | 2,270 | 20 | 2,413 | 0 | 5,111 | 0 | 0 |